Nigeria ’s Bankocracy And The ‘Soludo Effects’

By

Prof Mike Ikhariale

LawDevConsult@netscape.net

 

 

Let us begin with the disclaimer to the effect that the credit for the term “bankocracy”, as used here, belongs to Karl Marx, who, when faced with the abuses in the banking system of his day, decried the process by which public debt helps to facilitate the primitive accumulation of capital, by permitting money to be turned into capital without taking the risks of its employment in actual productive activities. In that case, there are no risks for the lenders, since they receive public bonds which are as good as cash, but the money thus released “has given rise to joint stock companies, to dealings in negotiable effects of all kinds, …to stock exchange gambling and the modern bankocracy” (Chapter 31, Part VIII, of the famous Capital, volume 1).

 

It is interesting to note how, with considerable accuracy, his analyses of the situation in the nineteenth-century European banking system in relation to the vexed subject of “capital” which in turn led him to articulate the dynamics of “bankocracy” remains very valid to our situation in Nigeria today. Even though Marxism is currently on recess, intellectually speaking, it is my candid opinion that any scholar, whether of the left or of the right, who seriously wants to develop a sharp philosophically insight into the mechanics of both the domestic and the global political economy should do himself the favour of running through those volumes on the “evolution of capital”.

 

In the days following the ill-fated deregulation of the Nigerian economy (without a corresponding deregulation of the political sphere), it was possible for people with access to the sprawling government’s patronage machine that was then under the evil grip of IBB, his cronies and successors in office, to readily obtain banking licenses, then go to any of the government-controlled banks, take as much loan as possible, with or without collateral, and use the borrowed funds (capital?) to set up their own banks. The banks thus created are able to make a lot of easy money (profit?) for the pseudo-bankers (investors?) by simply selling foreign exchange that are auctioned to them by the same government even before opening their banking doors for business!

 

A banking boom soon ensued. So numerous are the banks so created that they ran out of names and we started seeing names that sounded like “Ogwugwu Bank”, “Agbaya Bank”, “Jankara Bank”,  etc, etc. Their capital structures are clearly inadequate to protect depositors or stimulate the much-needed long-term lending for economic growth, all against the background of their insatiable Enron-type of corporate lavishness. So, we have enormous balance sheet wellbeing without any real economic value backing it, thereby setting the stage for the calamitous bursting of bubbles, someday.

 

Because the demand for quality bankers was far more than the supply, the recruitment standards were forcibly diluted. The MBA degree was the preferred gate pass and this fact forced thousands of people from all backgrounds into the program. Naturally, it was of good quality at the beginning, but it soon became something else. As a university professor, it is only with considerable disgust that one discusses the scandal that those courses became simply because people who in normal times would not be qualified for admission into them as students were being desperately hired as “teachers”. Consequently, curricula qualities plummeted while many of those who would not have been able to enter a university for any degree program, due to inadequate entry qualifications, managed to find their ways into those “MBA” classes. Some faculties that were faced with grinding budgetary problems quickly joined in the business of producing assortment of worthless all-comers MBA degree courses, often through what they called “satellite campuses”, charging unjustifiably astronomical fees from equally desperate applicants under the guise of ‘market forces’.  

 

Consequently, previously unemployable people in sensitive money handling duties soon found their ways into bank vaults, resulting in widespread frauds and disgusting disappearance of professionalism in the industry. Perhaps more telling about how debased banking became in Nigeria is the morally reprehensible methods they devised for their so-called “cash drives”. Pretty girls are deliberately hired to go into the streets to be exchanging their bodies for cash deposits. Trust Nigerians, many fake millionaires soon find an easy way of getting these desperate pretty ‘bankers’ by falsely promising them deposit money. Any employee who dares to complain is promptly sacked and if there is anyone that still wants to show that she is decently married or wants to have babies, that would be the end of her job.

 

From the little travel that I have had the good fortune to make, I have never seen where bankers, like itinerant Jehovah witnesses, pound the streets, knocking from door to door, soliciting for funds as is now the vogue in Nigeria . Even though some ‘bankers’ defend this unethical practice of allocating targets to employees which they must meet in order to keep their jobs as ‘creative banking’, it is obvious that for such to have become the new industry norm, a lot must have gone wrong and it would only take a while before the real consequences start hitting home.  

 

The big talk in Nigeria right now is the oncoming astronomical hike in the capital base of commercial banks to the magical figure of 25 billion. Just like the old SAP that preceded it, it is the official position that there is no alternative to it. The CBN governor, Prof Soludo, decreed it and President Obasanjo concurred while the National Assembly has been largely muted until recently when it belatedly decided to amend the nation’s banking laws in such a way that would allow for different grades of banks with varying capital base to exist. That would have been a nice way to moderate the Soludo-cum-Obasanjo extreme position on the matter but I can bet my last kobo that the rubberstamp nature of the National Assembly would ultimately see to it that the proposed amend does not see the light of day. So, the Soludo position is, for all intents and purposes, the ‘final solution’, at least, for today.

 

Clearly, Prof Soludo is a solid economist even if he is not a banker. Which means that he knows what he is about to do and how it would affect both the micro and macro sides of the national economy. He might indeed be the voice of an unseen hand. For many reasons, I am convinced that he was given to Obasanjo by the World Bank and for a purpose too. While his enormous World Bank credentials are not in doubt, some of us are, at least, alert enough to be able to follow the debate, and possibly, also formulate our own take on the matter even as ordinary citizens.

 

What is happening in the country right now is not new. It is a situation that was created by the government it is only them that can also cure it. Therefore, without the adroit intervention of the government at some point, things would remain as they have always been, i.e., “associations of private speculators, who placed themselves by the side of governments, and, thanks to the privileges they received, were in a position to advance money to the State. … The sudden uprising of this brood of bankocrats, financiers, rentiers, brokers, stock-jobbers …” It is true that these outfits do routinely carry out some of the traditional functions of banks such as accepting deposits and granting loans and overdrafts but it is also an open secret that they survive mainly on government’s direct and indirect patronage and, of course, on the notorious 'forex' deals.

 

The differences between these bankers and the ubiquitous calculators-carrying currencies hawking “Mallams” are not much and without a creative regulatory mechanism to police them, they would soon bring the nation to her ruins. This parasitic dependency of the banks on the government also explains why the government finds it irresistible to frequently issue and re-issue directives, which are, at times contradictory, to them at will. The bottomline is that the banks, as presently constituted, both in their capital structure and corporate philosophy, are ultimately dangerous both to themselves and to the public.

 

Why is the CBN governor acting tough on the banks at this time, as some have argued? I am not sure if I have ever Soludo in person anywhere. But I have come across some of his writings and I am pretty able to place him. And being of the same generation, entering the academic world about the same time when SAP was packaged and presented within a ‘non-negotiable’ dictatorial framework, it is a lot easier for me to see reasons for his actions even if we might be miles apart in style. It is my hunches he must have been shocked at some point in his career to see fresh graduates who collected references from him to some of these new generation banks returning with letters of appointments carrying salaries that were at least four times his pay as a university professor! And as an economist, he is, more than anyone else, able to know that these banks were really not creating wealth or helping to build capital through mopped up savings beyond just trading in hard currencies - easy money to finance their corporate hedonism. What is more, he is also aware that, but for the state-supervised fraud that is deeply embedded in the business, so many Nigerians wouldn’t have been rushing into it. More importantly, it is because the capital threshold has been deliberately lowered in other to facilitate the easy entry of government favoured cronies, retired army generals, etc, that enabled the Nigerian banking population to grow in “geometric proportions”. It was thus obvious that something must be done to reverse the “deregulated” trend.

 

Clearly, if the capital base of these banks is mandatorily jacked up to 25 billion Naira as has been decreed, not many people would be sufficiently motivated to establish family-size banks anymore. The additional fact that not many of the existing banks can afford to generate the newly required capital also portent the possibility of forced merger or widespread bankruptcies. In any case, the CBN has being telling us for some time now that many of these banks are operationally moribund. The ‘Soludo effect’, therefore, is the imminent possibility of many banks going under because they were never really designed to be bigger than what they are now – just conduit pipes for round-tripping, forex deals and, possibly, money-laundering, and for just a few.

 

In principle, I agree with Soludo. There are just too many banks (all fraudulently claiming to be big) in Nigeria . No where else do we have little banks in such numbers scrambling for non-existent funds in the streets. A visit to Alaba market or the old Trade Fair Complex along the Badagry Expressway both in Ojo, Lagos, confirms the fact that there are many unviable banks around.

 

The only snag about the new directive is that it still suffers from some of the old symptoms of dictatorship in which policies are hastily formulated and forcibly imposed with the highly militarised “with immediate effect” dikta, pushed them down our throats even if no one is genuinely in compliance of them. Another legitimate issue, and one to which Soludo must listen if he would not regret later, is the fact that the figure itself is arbitrary. It is the same defective logic that led to the jumbo hikes in fuel prices in one fell swoop and many other extravagant “reforms” initiated by the government leading to needless frictions, if not outright sabotage and public disenchantment with government. That, to me, is neither creative nor workable in a society where nobody trusts the government or her actions anymore. It would be nice if the capital bases are graduated in such a way that there would now be big banks, medium banks and small banks in the industry, each serving its own market. The customers may have reasons, and they are many, for preferring one of the categories of banks due to their specialised services and their capacities.

 

It is true that, in dollar terms, 25 billion Naira may not be enough to start off a community bank, say, in the US . But if size is the only goal, after the unexpected collapse of UK’s Barings ING, a few years ago, it is should be clear by now that jumbo banks, like their dinosaur counterparts, can also go into extinction and disastrously too, if badly managed. Huge capital without meaningful changes in the banking culture, management style and in the fiscal and monetary environments, would only create bigger disasters; mega monopolies instead of quality services.

 

There is also the complaint that not enough consultation was carried out before the new policy was decreed. The failure to carry all the stakeholders along, especially under a democracy, is yet another ‘banana peel’ lurking in ambush for the policy. Some have mentioned that the directive may economically disenfranchise some sections of the country. But looking at the geographical spread of the directorate of these banks, one is unable to see the truth in such a charge. Instead, I think it is the whole economy that could be disadvantaged by the policy.  

 

Finally, I think it is wrong for a supposedly democratic government to be making a virtue out of policy rigidity up to the point where it actually borders on malice because there is always a good faith middle ground in public governance. Good leadership entails the continuous search for that delicate policy balance. It is typical of government policies in Nigeria to be inflexible and inconsiderate, little wonder that they don’t last. The CBN governor would be helping himself and his polices a great deal if he can step down a bit from his policy high horse and try to meet the bankers somewhere in the middle. That way, the much-feared Armageddon in the banking sector or what we herein called the ‘Soludo effects’, may then take on a human face and become less agonizing. Whether or not the World Bank and the other institutional undertakers of the nation’s economy would allow for that is yet another question.