Fixed Price of Petrol Possible in Nigeria?
By
Emmanuel Y. Kwache
emmanuelyamekwache@yahoo.com
This thought provoking feature is courtesy of Tell
Nigeria’s Independently Weekly Magazine No. 18 May 5, 2008, pages
46,47 and 48 and compilations from New Democrat Newspaper Vol.
1 No. 003, Monday April 28 – Sunday May 4, 2008 page 27, Daily
Trust – the online edition 5th March 2008 and Daily
Trust, Monday, April 21, 2008, Vol.18 No. 19, page 27 also.
The contention is that Oil and Gas Industry In Nigeria
has the capacity to have a fixed price of petrol, once our leaders are
decisive.
Let me quote the Chairman, Revenue Mobilization,
Allocation and Fiscal Commission, Engr. Hamman Tukur, says in an
interview with the Editors of Tell Magazine, as mentioned on
page 47 second column, 4th paragraph and I quote verbatim.
“On pricing the issue is, is Government going to subscribe? If the
answer is yes, okay let every Nigerian pay a fixed amount for petrol,
kerosine, gas and so on; you now subsidise. Why should Nigerians pay a
kobo above this price? In 2006/2007 in the Federation Account;
Government made a provision for N150 billion for subsidy, which
means we must pay a certain fixed price for petrol in respect of
fluctuation in the International Market. But you know many things,
between 2006 and 2007 fuel price was increased. So, was there a change
in policy as related to subsidy? Where is the N150 billion you
reserved in the Federation Account? In 2007/2008, they again made
provision of N100 billion for subsidy and fuel price was increased.
What again happened to this money? Immediately this Government came
in, there was a plan to increase fuel price again. The whole
commission (that is The Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal
Commission) ran to Mr. President. We asked Mr. President, why do you
want to increase fuel price? Is it international market or what? But
you budgeted for this subsidy and the money is there in the Federation
Account, why must you subject Nigerians to paying an additional N10
for petroleum product, when there is provision on the ground to
cushion this effect? What is the talk about international market
fluctuations? You budgeted for it, the money is there, take it and
pay. You don’t have to transfer the burden to Nigeria, we told him.
The worst part of it is that NNPC is with holding N25 billion to N30
billion monthly from the Federation Account, all in the name of fuel
subsidy, yet you say Nigerians should pay more. THANK GOD, WE HAVE A
RESPONSIBLE PRESIDENT WHO LISTENS. TTHAT WAS HOW THE PRICE INCREASE,
COUPLED WITH THE PRESSURE FROM LABOUR WAS AVERTED. The money is
Nigerians’ money, so why do they have to pay more? Is the essence of
Government not to cushion the suffering of the common man? Don’t
forget that whenever you put N1 on petrol, everything you can think of
in Nigeria will have its price increased. This illegality of deducting
monies from the Federation Account by NNPC, the Federal Government and
its agencies must stop. We must be told by Petroleum Products Pricing
and Regulatory Agency (PPPRA), if subsidy is cost consumption or cost
recovery. If it is cost consumption, then Nigerians have been taxed
enough, but if it is recovery then we must be educated on this. NNPC
or PPPRA have no constitutional right to take money from the
Federation Account in the name of a so-called subsidy that is
abracadabra” these words speak for themselves. So it is possible for a
fixed price of petrol, when the rules are followed. Then who has been
taking Nigerians for a ride this long time that the burden, which the
subsidy was to bear, was transferred to fellow Nigerians? I tried to
find the meaning of subsidy in the Oxford, Advanced Learner’s
Dictionary and this is the exculpation, I discovered: subsidy
according to the dictionary in the money that is paid by a Government
or an organization to reduce the costs of services or of producing
goods, so that their prices can be kept low. That is it in a simple
definition. Other related complications, which have bedeviled our
country and money is stolen by visionless leaders that borders on the
oil sector is the excess crude Account. This “Excess Crude” is a
misnomer and not part of our constitutional provisions says Engr.
Hamman Adama Tukur in The New Democrat, Monday April 7- Sunday
April 13, 2008, page 27, second column paragraph 2. It has never been
part of any law and has become a reality on the ground for several
years, he continued. Oil benchmarking is to encourage the misuse or
abuse of Excess Revenue Account. There are four parts that summed up
the Excess Revenue Account. I WILL LIKE YOU TO ASSIST IN EDUCATING
NIGERIANS WHAT THIS ACCOUNT IS ALL ABOUT, he pleaded. There are
three parts of this Excess Revenue Account, which are in dollars, and
the fourth part in naira. The three-dollar parts of the Excess Revenue
Account are (a) Excess Equity Crude Account (b) Excess Petroleum
Profit Tax Account and (c) Excess Royalty Petroleum Account. You also
know that everyday the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC)
picks 445, 000 barrels of crude oil for domestic refining, which is
monetized in naira into the Federation Account. The fourth part is the
Excess Domestic Crude Account in naira. We have three-dollar accounts
and one naira account. All these are referred to as the Excess Revenue
Account. All of them have something to do with benchmarking, which he
said is not part of the Appropriation law. Benchmarking has brought
about problems bordering on these Excess Accounts and the misuse of
the accounts. Looking at these problems of the Excess Accounts over
the years, The Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal Commission
is now thinking of another approach to benchmarking: They have
reviewed the current practices of benchmarking and observed that the
difference between the benchmarking and the actual crude price was not
properly accounted for. This has led to the creation of illegal Excess
Crude Account amidst infrastructure decays. The Chairman with a
patriotic passion says instead of putting the money in what he called
“illegal account” the excess proceeds should be used to develop
specific infrastructure. There is no electricity, no water, no roads,
no railways, no hospitals and no schools. The philosophy of the new
approach is to exclusively translate crude oil revenue into
infrastructure development and also to allow for minimum governance
without budgetary distortions. The new thought from the commission
boldly emphasizes that the new approach seeks to use Excess Revenue
for specific infrastructural development. This is deliberately
designed to allow for the fixing of benchmark used to specific
priority projects without negatively impacting on the minimum cost of
governance as already contained in the 2008 budget.
In other words, the new method is a simple and
practical process whereby a predetermined crude oil benchmark is
allocated to specific priority project such as power, railway and
other critical infrastructures. This is without touching the minimum
governance. If you are to fix any benchmark, the critical issue is
what are you going to do with the difference between the budgeted
benchmark and the actual Oil Price in the International Market? Unless
it is part of the law you are passing, it makes no meaning whatsoever.
This is because, it has been misused over the last four to five years.
Anything called benchmark, which creates Excess Account is
unconstitutional. To fix a benchmark, you have to look at the Federal
Government of Nigeria budget. What is the minimum amount required for
governance? What revenues are you expecting to do that minimum
governance? How much of the revenues are coming from oil? You know the
quantities you are exporting because the Organisation of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) tells you, what quantity to export, so the
money required for minimum governance divided by the quantity of crude
oil expected will give you the benchmark. The balance of oil money in
other accounts should now be for specific capital infrastructure
projects. That is the position of the commission, so it is unethical
to arbitrarily fix oil benchmark at $53 or $59 or $60 per barrel. What
is minimum governance? From the minimum governance you now work out
the minimum oil price you expect will allow you to accomplish the
minimum governance. After which you now translate all your oil money
above the minimum governance into infrastructural development. This is
what other countries do to benefit maximally from high oil prices. The
Government can now translate the high oil prices into electricity,
railway system, agriculture and others. Every quarter, the government
can review what it spends its crude on. Assuming the government earns
$40 or $50 per barrel above the minimum governance or oil benchmark,
it can appropriate $3.9 per barrel per day for power, $6.23 per barrel
day for railway and $6.49 per barrel per day for coal and also for
agriculture.
Another interesting aspect and what most Nigerians do
not know its quantum, quality and future is the Gas Industry in
Nigeria . When the Editors of the Tell Nigeria’s Independent Weekly
Magazine, No. 18, May 5, 2008 page 48 asked the Chairman of The
Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission his view and
stake on Gas and flaring? “Which gas?”, the accomplished bureaucrat
and technocrat asked in return. “ Nigeria does not have gas”, he
revealed. The Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG), you people talk
about is sold for 20 years to foreign companies operating in Nigeria .
Nigeria has a minority share in NLNG; that is why you heard them
saying they had no gas to power Obasanjo’s power projects. They have
sold the gas they would produce for the next twenty years. The
ownership of the NLNG was originally 60 percent Nigeria . It
mysteriously became 49 percent. So we don’t have the power to really
determine what happens to our gas reserves between now and the next 20
years. Gas flaring cannot end because it is cheaper for the foreign
companies to flare the gas and pay penalties than to take the burden
of cost to contain the thing and we have no control over them. To add
my own and many other firms, companies like Ajaokuta, Steel Rolling
Mills, Iron Ore Mining Company Itakpe, NITEL and even NNPC may be sold
to Global Holdings International Limited (GHIL) and others in that
order. But hear what the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilization
Allocation and Fiscal Commission says when asked this question “Do you
see the NNPC getting privatized in the future: he retorted “only a mad
person would want the NNPC privatized. The flow of dividends or
revenue from NLNG to the Federation Account is still shrouded in
mystery and the loans the NLNG is collecting from left, right and
centre will have a reverberative effect on Nigeria in the future. With
all these lofty talks what of if the crude oil price crashes in the
International Market asks Idris Ahmed of The Daily Trust,
Monday, April 21, 2008 page 27, the Electrical Engineer noted they did
their research on the oil market before coming out with any new
concept
THE DEMAND FOR OIL CAN ONLY INCREASE.
Oil has a lot to do with the energy sector; in the
world economy. It accounts for about 60 percent of the energy demand.
Oil and coal are still used to generate energy in the world. It
cannot change, not for now. The use of other substitute to power
cars cannot even be sustained. Oil prices have been increasing for the
last 10 years, why should it crash this year or next year? Let us
suppose a disaster happened and oil prices crashed to the oil
benchmark of $59 per barrel or below what the Government can do is to
suspend the projects tied to the Excess Revenue. The Government may
explain to the public that it is suspending two of the five
infrastructures being built because oil prices have gone down to $ 40
per barrel or so. Government should not go and take loans to build
infrastructure in the country, why should it? We have funds in the
Foreign Reserves, which included the Excess Revenue Account. The said
Government should not take loans to build infrastructure in the
country. “The Chinese Government is offering US$50 billion loan for
the funding of infrastructure development. Are you saying this offer
should be rejected by the Government?” asked the interviewer. The
Chairman emphatically said “I told you earlier that the Excess Crude
Account is currently about $17 billion, what will the Chinese loan do,
when we have some idle funds? The Excess Crude Account is enough to
solve our power problem, develop a good railway and transportation
system, establish schools and put drugs in the hospitals and
rehabilitate our health care system. What will Chinese loan now do,
when we have funds to address these problem? We sold our gas for 20
years to Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) and we are now saying
we are going to construct thermal power stations to use gas. Their
committee is looking at the agreement, which the Government signed
with NLNG under solid minerals. And they said; they cannot query it.
They will do nonetheless, otherwise, there will be no sufficient Gas
in Nigeria to run the thermal power stations. He was talking as an
Electrical Engineer, who knows the functions and operations of
generating and transmitting light. We thank God, that in this country,
we have such citizens that display an uncommon courage in the
discharge of their duties. Other seemingly unpopular stance this
gentleman has taken which have not been reflected in the newspapers,
magazines and on websites mentioned at the beginning of this opinion
is when the commission opposed the funding of the integrated power
project from the Consolidated Revenue Account, which they found to be
illegal. This is truly a fearless icon; bold and courages and has
consistently reminded Nigerians that development is not proportionate
to the revenue that has accrued so far from oil, 50 years after
discovery. Nigeria , absolutely lacked the needed managerial
capabilities and leadership to convert these resources to wealth for
the benefit of the common man. The vintage personality, Engr. Hamman
A. Tukur, The Chairman, Revenue Mobilization Allocation and Fiscal
Commission even before the House of Representatives Committee on
Banking and Currency is of the view according to http:// news. Daily
Trust. Com/content/view/5295/27/, Friday, 02 May 2008, written by
Tashikalmah Hallam suggested the rising price of crude oil on the
international market, the most realistic benchmark for the 2008 budget
should be arrived at by basing the daily cost of any project in a
given sector on daily crude production and calculating it against the
chosen $59 per barrel benchmark. The RMAFC Chairman said “for
instance, if the following sectors are identified as national
priorities; power, railways, agriculture and coal reactivation, etc,
then to determine their benchmarks, the formula applies; daily cost of
project by daily crude production which equals to benchmark” According
to him, “If the power sector requires $ 4 billion for reliable power
over the period of say four years, then annual requirement is $ 1bn.
Monthly requirement of funds is $ 1bn over 12 months that is $ 83.3
per month; daily requirement of funds is $ 83.3 for 30 days which
equals to $2,777,777 per day. The amount the Chairman said can be
sourced daily and dedicated to the power sector, adding that with
712,950 barrel of crude oil per day production exclusively to the
Federal Government, the new bench mark would read $2,777,777 per day
over 712,950 which equals to $3,90 per barrel per day. Therefore the
benchmark required to realize the $ 4b earmarked for the power sector
is $3.90 per barrel per day” adding that $ 3.90 per barrel per day be
allocated to the power sector, after every $59 per barrel per day
benchmark earmarked in the 2008 budget. The Chairman observed
meticulously that the same formula could be applied to the other three
sectors he cited as example to determine the appropriate benchmark for
each. The formula is a deliberate approach designed to reduce
inflation through the importation of capital goods because the demands
of the identified sectors are largely sourced outside the country and
are therefore within the medium term expenditure framework of the
World Bank and the IMF, thus the fear of inflation does not arise.
Thus the application of the new formula would enable Nigeria conserve
and utilize whatever excess amount accrued from the fluctuation of the
sale of crude oil instead of depositing it in the countries foreign
reserve, which is often used more by other countries. Who says
knowledge is not power? Engineer Hamman Adama Tukur was born on
January 24, 1942 in Jada, Adamawa State . A learned gentleman and can
hold any position of responsibility. He attended various schools at
home and abroad. He has a B.Sc. in Physics from the famous Ahmadu
Bello University and M.Sc in Electrical Engineering in England . He
started his work career at consolidated Tin Mines in Jos before moving
to the academia as a lecturer at Kaduna Polytechnic. He was Head of
Department of Electrical / Electronics, before he became the Rector of
Kaduna Polytechnic. After fourteen years in the academia, the Federal
Government appointed him, Managing Director, National Electric Power
Authority, defunct NEPA, then Director General, Federal Ministry of
Power and Steel and later Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of
Petroleum Resources. Engr. Hamman A. Tukur has received awards and
commendations from groups and credible institutions. He is a member
Institute of strategic studies, Kuru, Fellow, Nigerian Society of
Engineers, Fellow, Yaba College of Technology and member, Institute of
Electrical Engineers ( England ). He is also altogether Officer of the
Order of the Federal Republic (OFR), amongst several other honours.
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