Fusion, Not Party Alliances
by
Anthony Akinola

anthonyakinola@yahoo.co.uk


   
There is no serious ideological divide in Nigeria.  What divides Nigerians is their ethnicity or religion.  This notwithstanding, competitive political parties are desirable for effective governance.  Political office holders will have more respect for the electorate if they realise that there is a credible alternative party on the ground ready to take over the reins of governance.  The People’s Democratic Party (PDP), detestable as it may be in the eyes of many, is currently the only political party better organised and relatively disciplined to manage the affairs of the Nigerian state.  Others will have to organise to be able to provide the competition we so much desire in the polity.

There is some kind of a history of party development in Nigeria which is about “other parties” struggling to challenge the position of a relatively dominant one.  In the First Republic, for instance, the Northern People’s Congress (NPC) was the dominant party whose awesome control of the centre provoked the alliances of other political parties.  A series of shifting alliances between parties culminated in grand alliances that aped a two-party competition.  The 1964 Federal elections were contested between a group of politicians which styled themselves as progressive, the United Progressive Grand Alliance (UPGA), and another group assumed to be conservatives, the Nigerian National Alliance (NNA) which revolved around the ethnocentric NPC.  The alliances collapsed with the demise of the First Republic in January 1966.

History repeated itself in the Second Republic (1979-1983) when the National Party of Nigeria (NPN) emerged as the relatively dominant political party following the 1979 elections, thereby compelling self-styled progressive politicians to attempt to forge an alternative political party via the Progressive Parties Alliance (PPA).  The progressive politicians held a series of meetings and rallies, giving an impression that something great was going to happen.  The alliance collapsed on the altar of ethnic politics as the members were unable to agree a common candidate for the 1983 presidential elections.  However, they agreed to support in the presidential election whichever member of the alliance posed the greatest challenge to the NPN candidate – a strategy that met its waterloo once the electoral arrangement was reversed to begin with that of the president.
   

What would appear to be a blatant attempt to compel the fusion of the progressive and conservative ideological assumptions or tendencies in Nigerian politics came in the Third Republic when General Ibrahim Babangida decreed two political parties – the Social Democratic Party (SDP) and the National Republican Convention (NRC) – into existence.  Sadly, General Babangida himself killed off his own experiment making it impossible for us to know how far it could have gone.  However, the history of political party development here or in any other place suggests it was one experiment which in the long term hardly had any chance of succeeding.  While a nation may choose to be a one-party state or a multi-party state, compartmentalising one as large and diverse as Nigeria into two political parties was indeed one hell of an experiment in political engineering.
   

General Babanbida’s seeming aberration was soon followed by General Sani Abacha’s joke of five political parties that would have a consensus presidential candidate which was to be himself.  However, fate did not permit the Abacha joke to further infuriate our sensibilities and maybe we now know better that there is really no alternative to democracy in whatever shape it presents itself.  The current shape of democracy in our society may not be the most ideal but democracy is nevertheless one experiment that improves with practice and continuity.  The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) urgently needs genuine rival political parties and not toothless and spineless opposition parties. 
   

The dominance of the PDP is more or less a continuation of the tendencies witnessed in the First and Second Republics when the NPC and NPN respectively dominated the political space.  The politics of alliances might have been suitable in the parliamentary system as practised in the First Republic when post-electoral coalitions between parties decided Government and Opposition but the presidential system of government is a different kettle of fish.  Parties have to be of sufficient strength to be realistically able to challenge for the presidency and that is why it is absolutely important for Nigeria’s minor political parties to consider merging their forces rather than continuing to agonise about the PDP.  This writer has argued consistently that truly competitive political parties that traverse ethnic and religious divides can emerge if the principle of leadership rotation is entrenched in the constitution.  If the Nigerian Constitution is ever going to be reviewed, this position should be favourably considered as it is one effective way of removing the hob around which support for the ethnic political party revolves.
   

Helped by an electoral institution which is truly independent and fair to all parties, the people themselves are the most important elements in the trend and direction of a nation’s party system.  They are the ones who decide with their ballots whether or not a set of political office holders should continue to serve.  One phenomenon in the old democratic nations, particularly America and Britain, is the continued increase in the number of independent or floating voters.  They, not the traditional card-carrying supporters, decide the outcome of major elections.  One believes strongly there would be a large number of such independent voters in the Nigerian society once major political parties have ceased to be ethnic.
   

It was said at the beginning of this article that Nigeria does not have a serious ideological divide and that should not suggest anything negative.  The presidential system of government thrives on such an atmosphere.  The absence of a serious ideological divide explains why America’s two political parties, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, have co-existed and worked for common good over the years.  Where there is a serious ideological divide, one party might assume it had an obligation to silence the other whenever the opportunity presents itself.  However, our elected politicians are enjoined to respect their mandates and stop prostituting themselves.  Defecting from one political party to the other  does not help the cause of a stable, competitive party system.