Gender Dimensions of Population Growth

By

Ejiro Joyce Otive-Igbuzor, PhD

ejiro_otive@yahoo.co.uk

 

Executive Director, Women Empowerment and
Reproductive Health Centre (WERHC), Abuja, Nigeria
 
 
At the beginning of the 20th Century, the World’s population was less than 2 billion people. Each year, it increases by about 80 million people. It is projected to rise to 7 billion by the end of October 2011 and 9.3 billion by 2050. The largest increase is projected to be in Africa where total fertility rate (TFR) is more than 5 in over 20 countries.
 
Africa accounts for 20% of the World’s population and by all measures, is the fastest growing continent. Most countries in West Africa have TFRs between 3.0 and 8.0 - Ghana, 3.48; Liberia, 5.13; Sierra Leone, 4.94; Nigeria, 2.73; Benin, 5.33; Togo, 4.69; Mali, 7.38 and Niger, 7.37. Though the current TFRs represent a decline in the number of births per woman over the years, they do not indicate a decline in population growth as is the case in developed countries where TFRs have fallen dramatically below 2.6 in most instances.
 
Nigeria, the most populous country in Africa with a current population of over 158 million will maintain its first position with a projected population of at least 289 million by 2050. Nigeria is expected to overtake the population of the US by 2050 even though its total land area of 923,000 square kilometers is only one tenth of that occupied by the US. The impoverished and drought-prone West African country Niger is projected to have a meteoric population rise from 16 million to 58 million by 2050 at the current population growth rate. This could portend massive food insecurity, social and environmental problems for the small Sahelian country.
 
In most of West Africa, birth rates range between 27 – 51 per 1000 population (Ghana - 27.55, Nigeria - 35.51, Togo – 35.58, Senegal – 36.46, Benin – 38.11, Burkina Faso – 43.59, Mali – 45.62, Niger – 50.54) compared to 13.83 per 1000 population in the US[i], 7.31 per 1000 in Japan, 12.00 per 1000 in France, China and the UK and 8.00 per 1000 in Germany. In the richer countries, people are living longer due to access to socio-economic opportunities. Coupled with a decline in birth rates, there is a demographic transition in which the population is growing older (an increase in the dependency ratio) compared to a bourgeoning population of youths in developing countries. It is instructive to note that while families in France, Japan and Germany are offered cash incentives to have children, poorer countries are being lectured on small family sizes.
 
Some demographers believe that the earth has already exceeded its carrying capacity. The earth is under tremendous pressure to host the teeming population of humans, most of who do not care about maintaining a balance in the ecosystem. Some environmentalists argue that though population growth puts immense pressure on the ecosystem, our misuse of available resources does more damage to the ecosystem than population growth.
 
Determinants of population growth are gendered. They reflect gross inequalities between women and men but also between the global North and South. These gendered determinants include child survival, female literacy, changes related to hygiene, access to healthcare, access and control over income.
 
Culture and tradition place high values on large families in West Africa. A decline in death rates and access to socio-economic activities, including female literacy has removed the incentive for large families in the richer countries. In agrarian societies, children form part of the workforce on their parents’ farms. A cultural requirement also prevails that children take care of their parents in old age. These in turn place a high demand on women’s fertility. There is anecdotal evidence that in some cultures in South Eastern Nigeria a woman who has had 10 children is celebrated in a special way. In the same vein, a woman who is ‘unable to prove her fertility’ after years of marriage is often derided and sometimes lacks a sense of fulfillment.
 
On a global scale, West African countries have the lowest literacy rates (Burkina Faso being the lowest at 22%) worldwide. Of all the illiterate adults in the world, two-thirds are women. Female literacy has a positive correlation with the health status of families. In The Demographic Transition (2011) Montgomery posits and we agree that “increasing female literacy and employment lower the uncritical acceptance of childbearing and motherhood as measures of the status of women. Valuation of women beyond childbearing and motherhood becomes important. In addition, as women enter the work force their life extends beyond the family and the connections they make with other women serve to break their isolation and change their attitudes towards the burdens of childbearing. Within the family they become increasingly influential in childbearing decisions”[ii].
 
West Africa is caught in a vicious cycle of inequality resulting in poverty and disease which will further entrench inequality. As women who are mostly based in rural areas labour to replenish the increasingly urbanising population, many lose their lives. At a UN Conference in 2009, the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the UN (FAO) stressed the need for a proper socio-economic framework to address imbalances and inequalities. Maternal mortality in West Africa is an avoidable tragedy.
 
As the population of the world increases, the demands for energy use further damage the ecosystem and plunders women’s livelihood which are often tied to the ecosystem.
 
A burgeoning population raises the important question of food security. Of the world’s current population of 7 billion, at least 1 billion goes to bed hungry daily. Food insecurity results more from distributive injustice than of lack of food. Studies have shown that in rural areas where most of the world’s hungry people live, women produce most of the food consumed locally. Their contribution could be much greater if they had equal access to essential resources and services, such as land, credit and training[iii]. Processes of growth and institutions that make and promote policies that disadvantage the poor widen gender gaps and place women and girls in marginal positions where they are unable to access and control resources, denying the world of women’s selfless contributions. In our view, women hold the keys to sustainable development in the 21st century.
 
An International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) held in Cairo in 2004, heralded a rights-based paradigm to addressing population issues rather than focusing purely on population policies and targets. This approach being pursued by United Nations institutions like UNICEF, UNFPA and UNDP need to percolate through national justice and security institutions in the subregion to make any meaningful impact, even in 20 years. For instance, population pressure on employment and the economy will further result in worsening cases of gender-based violence as a recent study in Nigeria by CLEEN Foundation shows that women are unlikely to report domestic violence and rape cases for fear of stigmatization and poor response from the authorities.[iv]
 
Interventions to tackle the current population problems must be gender transformative. Key issues of focus include women’s access to education, health (especially sexual and reproductive health) and other social services. The developed world needs to take environmental protection measures more seriously. Also, poverty reduction strategies must mainstream a gender perspective. Some of the Millennium Development Goals targets are positioned to address this, but many West African nations appear poised to miss the targets by 2015. Finally, women and girls must be empowered at all levels to take advantage of existing opportunities for growth and development. A shift in the cultural mindset, practices and values placed on high fertility will emerge once living conditions become more favourable for the vulnerable members of society.
 
 

 
 
[i] http://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html
[ii] Montgomery, K., 2011, The Demographic Transition http://www.marathon.uwc.edu/geography/demotrans/demtran.htm
[iii] Women, Agriculture and Food Security, http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsummit/english/fsheets/women.pdf
[iv] CLEEN Foundation (2010) National Crime Victimisation Survey.www.cleen.org
Ejiro J. Otive-Igbuzor, PhD
Executive Director
Women Empowerment and Reproductive Health Centre (WERHC)
2nd Floor, Tolse Plaza, 4, Lawan Gwadabe Crescent, Apo, Abuja.
Nigeria. Tel: +234-7033676020
 
WERHC...making the money work for women and girls in Africa